Weekly Analysis: Nikkei 225 Sets the Tone for the Week (+3.4%) · September 28 – October 2, 2026
The trading week of September 28 – October 2, 2026 in review: 23 of 95 tracked assets (24%) finished the week higher, with the major equity indices moving -0.6% on average over the week. The analysis covers equities and benchmark indices first, then crypto, commodities, FX and collectibles.
What Stands Out
Measured against our own history, nothing stood out this week: no benchmark index moved as much as it had in the past six months, and the count of new 52-week highs and lows stayed within the range of recent weeks.
Rule: a benchmark index is listed when its weekly change (Friday to Friday) is its largest in that direction for at least 26 weeks. The count of new 52-week highs or lows appears when it is the highest of the last 13 weeks and at least 5. Based on closing prices in our own database.
Weekly Barometer
Weekly change = weekend close versus roughly five trading days earlier.
Indices Over the Week
Stocks: Weekly Gainers & Losers
Gainers
| Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Wolfspeed Inc WOLF | $35.28 | +27.97% |
| Carnival Corp Ltd. CCL | $25.76 | +15.78% |
| Lumentum Holdings Inc. LITE | $1,085.42 | +15.27% |
| Synopsys Inc. SNPS | $489.90 | +15.06% |
| Royal Caribbean Group RCL | $277.74 | +14.44% |
| Coherent Corp. COHR | $337.04 | +13.93% |
| United Therapeutics Corporation UTHR | $541.70 | +13.93% |
| Accenture plc Class A ACN | $198.90 | +12.94% |
Losers
| Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Banzai International, Inc. PARA | $0.5224 | -25.37% |
| Nektar Therapeutics NKTR | $43.58 | -23.62% |
| Fair Isaac Corporation FICO | $661.25 | -23.39% |
| VNET Group ADR VNET | $5.13 | -22.74% |
| Solidion Technology Inc. STI | $5.31 | -18.56% |
| Lufax HLDG American Depositary Sha LU | $1.02 | -17.07% |
| Clarivate plc CLVT | $1.48 | -16.85% |
| Cable One, Inc. CABO | $12.21 | -16.66% |
From the US stocks Alysly charts. Weekly swings in single names can be far larger than those of the indices.
Crypto, Commodities and FX
Crypto moved -3.1% on average for the week, led by SAND (+52.0%). Precious metals came in at -6.0%, energy and industrial commodities at +1.0%.
Crypto: Weekly Gainers & Losers
Gainers
SAND
Aave
MAGIC
Hedera
ZRO
RLC
ZEC
ONDO
ENA
QNT
Arbitrum
NEARCommodities & Metals Over the Week
| Name | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Gold | 4,162.30 | -3.68% |
| Silver | 60.4150 | -6.77% |
| Platinum | 1,700.00 | -5.43% |
| Palladium | 1,172.20 | -8.13% |
| WTI crude | 91.1100 | -1.41% |
| Brent crude | 102.25 | +4.94% |
| Gasoline | 3.3124 | +3.92% |
| Heating oil | 4.5011 | +0.87% |
| Copper | 6.5490 | -3.21% |
FX Over the Week
| Pair | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|
  EUR/USD | 1.1285 | -1.33% |
 GBP/USD | 1.3242 | -0.11% |
 USD/JPY | 156.91 | +0.49% |
 AUD/USD | 0.6943 | -1.10% |
 USD/CAD | 1.4210 | +0.85% |
 USD/CHF | 0.8220 | +0.16% |
Real Assets: The Week's Hammer Prices
The auction houses delivered 63 records this week. Real assets are not quoted continuously. Trading happens when a lot is called. What follows is therefore not a weekly return but the sum of what actually changed hands.
| Asset class | Records | Median | Highest hammer price | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trading cards | 57 | $8,100 | Entei #6 · Neo Revelation 1st Edition (2001) Sep 28, 2026 | $312,000 |
| Classic cars | 5 | $127,000 | Porsche 911 Turbo (993) · 1995–1998 Oct 8, 2026 | $291,000 |
| Watches | 1 | $21,590 | Rolex GMT-Master 1675 · 1959–1980 Oct 1, 2026 | $21,590 |
The trading-card price index stands at 621.0 (as of September 28, 2026), +243.1% against a year ago. It measures price changes of the same good, unlike a median, which is made up of different items every week.
Residential property has no weekly figure: the latest official reading is from July 1, 2026, 93 days before this review. United States (Case-Shiller) +2.3% year on year. Germany +0.6% year on year. Euro area +3.8% year on year.
Cross-Asset Correlations
| Pair | r | −1 … +1 |
|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 ↔ Bitcoin | +0.37 | |
| S&P 500 ↔ Gold | +0.37 | |
| Gold ↔ Crude oil (WTI) | -0.17 | |
| EUR/USD ↔ Gold | +0.48 |
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