Interest Rates, Inflation and the Economy Over Time
Interest rates and inflation decide what is left of a return in real terms. This section carries the official series from the ECB, Eurostat and the St. Louis Fed’s FRED database — refreshed daily, with full history and linked directly to the calculators that use them.
Topics
- ECB Policy RateCurrent ECB main refinancing rate, deposit facility rate and €STR with full history since 1999 — plus what …
- German Mortgage RatesEffective interest rate on new German housing loans (ECB MIR statistics) with history, compared to the 10-year …
- German Savings RatesAverage interest on overnight household deposits in Germany versus the ECB deposit rate — the gap shows what …
- Government Bond Yields10-year German and US government bond yields over time — the reference for mortgage rates, equity valuation …
- Inflation in Germany and the Euro AreaCurrent inflation rate for Germany and the euro area (HICP, year on year) with long history — and what it …
- Labor Market: Germany and the USSeasonally adjusted unemployment rates for Germany (Eurostat) and the US (FRED) side by side, with full …
- US Rates and EconomyDate of the next Fed meeting, plus the fed funds rate, 10-year Treasury yield, US inflation, mortgage rates …
Rates, Inflation and the Economy
| Series | Latest | Change | As of |
|---|---|---|---|
| Germany unemployment rate | 4.10% | +0.00 pp | Sep 1, 2026 |
| US unemployment rate | 4.20% | +0.10 pp | Sep 1, 2026 |
| Germany mortgage rates (new housing loans) | 4.00% | +0.07 pp | Aug 1, 2026 |
| German 10-year government bond yield | 3.47% | +0.29 pp | Sep 1, 2026 |
| €STR (euro short-term rate) | 2.44% | +0.00 pp | Oct 29, 2026 |
| EUR/USD (ECB reference rate) | 1.1172 USD | +0.0040 USD | Oct 30, 2026 |
| ECB deposit facility rate | 2.50% | +0.00 pp | Oct 31, 2026 |
| ECB main refinancing rate | 2.65% | +0.00 pp | Oct 31, 2026 |
| US federal funds rate (effective) | 3.88% | +0.00 pp | Oct 29, 2026 |
| Germany inflation rate (HICP, year on year) | 3.30% | +0.40 pp | Sep 1, 2026 |
| Euro area inflation rate (HICP, year on year) | 3.80% | +0.60 pp | Sep 1, 2026 |
| Germany savings rates (overnight deposits) | 0.51% | +0.01 pp | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US 10-year Treasury yield | 4.98% | -0.07 pp | Oct 29, 2026 |
| US 30-year fixed mortgage rate | 7.24% | -0.08 pp | Oct 29, 2026 |
| US inflation rate (CPI, year on year) | 3.74% | +0.34 pp | Sep 1, 2026 |